Option Trade of the Day
by Commodity Training School
Date: 05/08/12
Estimated Update: 05/22/12
Company:
Commodity Trade School
Phone:
1-877-270-8403
eMail:
info@commoditytradingschool.com
Website:
www.commoditytradingschool.com
05-08-12
November Beans- Look as if they might have possibly topped out in the last few weeks as farmers are
entering the fields to do their planting. With the current price way above the ten year average we feel that
farmers are going to plant as much as they can to take advantage of the current price, which should drive
prices lower, possibly as low as under 10.00 per bushel by November. We are recommending the
November 1300/1200 bear put spread (buy the 13 put-sell the 12) which is selling for about $1,900. We
also recommend selling the November 15 call for 34 cents ($1,700) or better to offset much of the cost of
the bear put spread which in turn gives the trade an intrinsic break even of 1296 not including commission
and fees. The risk on the trade is above $15 and is unlimited while the profit potential is $5000 before
deducting your costs. The margin requirement is approximately 2,500 (due to short call). Based on our
target of around 9 dollars per bushel we also recommend and like out of the money puts.
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options.
FOR CUSTOMERS TRADING OPTIONS, THESE FUTURES CHARTS ARE PRESENTED FOR INFORMATIONAL
PURPOSES ONLY. THEY ARE INTENDED TO SHOW HOW INVESTING IN OPTIONS CAN DEPEND ON THE
UNDERLYING FUTURES PRICES; SPECIFICALLY, WHETHER OR NOT AN OPTION PURCHASER IS BUYING AN IN-
THE-MONEY, AT-THE-MONEY, OR OUT-OF-THE-MONEY OPTION. FURTHERMORE, THE PURCHASER WILL BE
ABLE TO DETERMINE WHETHER OR NOT TO EXERCISE HIS RIGHT ON AN OPTION DEPENDING ON HOW THE
OPTION’S STRIKE PRICE COMPARES TO THE UNDERLYING FUTURE’S PRICE. THE FUTURES CHARTS ARE
NOT INTENDED TO IMPLY THAT OPTION PRICES MOVE IN TANDEM WITH FUTURES PRICES. IN FACT, OPTION
PRICES MAY ONLY MOVE A FRACTION OF THE PRICE MOVE IN THE UNDERLYING FUTURES. IN SOME CASES,
THE OPTION MAY NOT MOVE AT ALL OR EVEN MOVE IN THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION OF THE UNDERLYING
FUTURES CONTRACT.
PLACING CONTINGENT ORDERS SUCH AS "STOP LOSS" OR "STOP LIMIT" ORDERS WILL NOT NECESSARILY
LIMIT YOUR LOSSES TO THE INTENDED AMOUNTS. SINCE MARKET CONDITIONS MAY MAKE IT IMPOSSIBLE
TO EXECUTE SUCH ORDERS.
The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness
is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to
the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities. Alaron Trading Corp. its officers and directors may in the normal
course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report. Any decision
to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person
authorizing such transaction.
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